Consumer confidence in the U.S. declined notably in early November, with the University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers reporting a 6.2% drop to a reading of 50.3, marking a 29.9% decrease from the same period last year. According to Survey Director Joanne Hsu, the downturn was primarily driven by a 17% drop in assessments of current personal finances and an 11% decline in expectations for business conditions over the coming year.
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The ongoing federal government shutdown, now extending beyond a month, has amplified public concern about potential economic repercussions. The survey results show the decline in sentiment was widespread across age, income, and political groups, signalling broad-based apprehension about the nation's financial direction. One notable exception came from households with significant stock market holdings, where sentiment actually rose 11%, supported by continued equity market strength despite broader economic uncertainty.
Inflation expectations presented a mixed picture. Year-ahead inflation expectations inched slightly higher to 4.7%, up from 4.6% in October, though still well below peaks recorded earlier in 2025 following major tariff announcements. In contrast, long-run inflation expectations edged lower from 3.9% to 3.6%, suggesting that consumers view current inflationary pressures as temporary rather than systemic.
Overall, the early November sentiment report reflects a nation uneasy about fiscal gridlock and the potential economic fallout from government inaction and trade tensions.
Source: www.floordaily.net