The global furniture market faces growing uncertainty following recent U.S. trade actions. President Donald Trump announced a White House investigation into imported furniture, warning that tariffs could be imposed within 50 days and citing "national security" as justification. The proposed tariffs would extend existing levies on low-cost imports, including products from Vietnam (20%) and China (30%), likely raising prices for U.S. consumers.
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Analysts warn that importers are expected to pass on some costs, while domestic manufacturers could also increase prices due to higher costs for imported parts. Tyler Schipper, professor of economics at the University of St. Thomas, noted that "prices will rise for everyday purchases," and Michael Sposi of Southern Methodist University added that even U.S.-made furniture could become more expensive. IKEA, with its significant U.S. market presence, faces challenges in maintaining competitive pricing.
Germany's furniture industry is particularly exposed. Despite a 3.7% rise in exports to the U.S. during the first half of 2025, the new 15% tariffs threaten to reverse growth. The Association of the German Furniture Industry (VDM) reported that "85 per cent of companies expect declining business," with costs likely passed to consumers. Different segments are affected unevenly: kitchen furniture exports are down 5%, while upholstered furniture remains slightly positive.
With Asian producers dominating U.S. imports, German manufacturers, holding just a 2% share, fear becoming collateral damage in a politically charged trade dispute. Analysts predict that consumers will likely face higher furniture prices, though the full impact remains uncertain.
Sources: ABC News , Moebelfertigung
